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NFL Week 7 Best Bets: Look for Steelers, Falcons and Cardinals to roll

Saturday, October 24, 2015 11:03:41 AM America/Los_Angeles

I told you guys I didn't like last week's card. Not many games jumped out at me and I was probably lucky to go 7-7. Had New England gone for two -- like it normally would have -- then it would have been 2-0 in Best Bets. But, alas, the Patriots didn't cover so I'm still just 8-6 on the year. Have to find a way to translate my overall hit-rate (58-34 for the season) to the Best Bets. Ugh.

So here it goes for this week. I'm going to go with three games where I see the mismatches.

Steelers (-1.5) over Chiefs

Landry Jones is just fine enough for this one. The Steelers don't need Big Ben. Jones knows the offense and can keep it together, and the Steelers defense will smother and exploit this highly limited Chiefs offense. KC can't move the ball and will turn it over. As long as Jones protects the football even just a little bit, this is a big win for Pittsburgh. The crowd scares me some in a tough road environment, but the Chiefs season is over and the Steelers' wideouts are chomping at the bit to go to work with Mike Vick back on the bench.

Falcons (-3.5) over Titans

The Titans are falling apart. They are getting their rookie franchise quarterback pounded and they're starting to resemble the sorry bunch from last year. Marcus Mariota is out. Falcons can run it down their throats and I don't see them letting up at all. After losing at New Orleans, this is a get-right game for Atlanta. The Titans look to me like a team that's going into another deep dive.

Cardinals (-7.5) over Ravens

Baltimore's secondary is hot garbage. John Brown might go for 200 and Larry Fitzgerald might go for 150. A fourth West Coast trip already for a beaten and weary Ravens team that can't keep leads and has no discernible defensive strength going against one of the most potent offenses in the NFL (on a fast track at home where they really flourish). And they're ticked after letting one get away a week ago. Oh, and it's a Monday night game and Bruce Arians ain't afraid to run up the score.

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